How the AP declared Trump Iowa's caucus victory

On the basis of an examination of early returns and the findings of AP VoteCast, a poll of voters who intended to participate in the Iowa caucuses on Monday night, the Associated Press determined that Donald Trump was the victor of the Iowa caucuses. Both of these scenarios depicted Trump with an insurmountable lead.

According to preliminary results from eight counties, Trump has received significantly more than half of the total votes tabulated as of 8:31 p.m. Eastern Time (ET), while the remaining candidates were following well behind. 

 Rural regions that are demographically and politically comparable to a significant number of counties that have not yet reported are included in these counties.

Additionally, the Associated Press VoteCast reveals that Trump holds significant leads among both males and females, as well as across all age groups and geographical locations situated across the state.

The AP VoteCast is a poll that was carried out by the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. The survey was administered to over 1,500 voters who indicated that they intended to participate in the Republican caucuses that will take place in Iowa on Monday.

The study indicated that among voters who identify as born-again Christians, Trump was supported by 58% of voters who intended to caucus.

This is in contrast to the 18% of voters who are in favor of DeSantis and the 13% who are in favor of Nikki Haley. According to the results of polls, it constituted a very small percentage of supporters of Trump in Iowa in 2016.

To this point, Trump is performing substantially better than his performance in the 2016 caucuses, when he finished in second place with 24% of the vote, whereas Ted Cruz won 28% of the vote.

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